From Bad to Worse in Iraq
Posted in politics on February 21st, 2005“How fortunate,” I thought, when I saw a couple weeks agon in the NYT that the Sistani’s Shite coalition had won only 48% of the vote in Iraq. This meant that they wouldn’t be able to dictate the terms of the constitution, and that a more secular form of government might result from a political process that would involve compromise. The picture of a weeping cleric on the front page told the story.
Well, it turns out that that 48% of the vote somehow translated into 140 seats in the 275 seat Iraqi parliament. If some news outlet has explained how the 48% turned into a majority of the seats in parliament, I missed it. But it’s bad news for secularism in Iraq.
Maybe the Shi’a shift from minority to majority was due to some obsure procedureal rules. Or — as now seems more likely — this unexplained shift may have resulted from behind-the-scenes power struggles in the midst of a fixed election. This second explanation would seem to fit with the claims made by former weapons inspector Scott Ritter at a talk two days ago in Olympia, WA:
The former Marine also said that the Jan. 30 elections, which George W. Bush has called “a turning point in the history of Iraq, a milestone in the advance of freedom,” were not so free after all. Ritter said that U.S. authorities in Iraq had manipulated the results in order to reduce the percentage of the vote received by the United Iraqi Alliance from 56% to 48%.
Asked by UFPPC’s Ted Nation about this shocker, Ritter said an official involved in the manipulation was the source, and that this would soon be reported by a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist in a major metropolitan magazine — an obvious allusion to New Yorker reporter Seymour M. Hersh.
So was it then the sweet smell of Democracy–or just a bunch of purple fingers?
It gets worse. Ritter said also that the Bush admin has already decided to attack Iran:
On Iran, Ritter said that President George W. Bush has received and signed off on orders for an aerial attack on Iran planned for June 2005. Its purported goal is the destruction of Iran�s alleged program to develop nuclear weapons, but Ritter said neoconservatives in the administration also expected that the attack would set in motion a chain of events leading to regime change in the oil-rich nation of 70 million — a possibility Ritter regards with the greatest skepticism. [. . .] Scott Ritter said that although the peace movement failed to stop the war in Iraq, it had a chance to stop the expansion of the war to other nations like Iran and Syria. He held up the specter of a day when the Iraq war might be remembered as a relatively minor event that preceded an even greater conflagration.
Here’s hoping Mr. Ritter is less correct about this possiblity than he was about Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction. But a rigged election is the kind of thing that could begin to prove him right.
[via King of Zembla]

Erg. That was surely the most grinding week of the semester. Conferencing with all my rhetoric students in the morning and afternoon, and grading in the evening the papers to be handed back the next day. Grade and discuss. Grade and discuss. With some occasional car-fixing errands in the late afternoon, and some reading and planning for my fiction class jammed into the cracks. 

